Russia’s War Turns Inward: Moscow Streets Brink of Chaos as Russian Casualties Hits 1 Million

#ukrainewar #ukrainewarupdate #military #militarydevelopments #militarystrategy

Ukraine’s General Staff says Russian casualties—killed and wounded—have topped one million, a figure echoed in range by independent analyses but not independently verified. We unpack what that scale means on the map and in Moscow’s accounts. At home, Russia’s federal deficit reached roughly 4.9 trillion rubles in January–July, already exceeding the 2025 target, while the central bank cut rates from 20% in early June to 18% on July 25. Inflation has cooled from spring highs, but households’ expectations were still elevated in May (13.4%) before easing to 13% in June–July. We connect losses, logistics, morale, and the war‑economy trade‑offs, then test three paths—grinding “attrition,” fiscal “erosion,” or a sharper “break.” Finally, we outline what could prove us wrong: energy prices, external resupply, winter, sanctions and financing, and any diplomatic surprise.

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